
Frasers Group, Next, Marks & Spencer, JD Sports and Primark will be fashion’s big five within three years. Retail Week investigates why
Fashion is one of retail’s most dynamic sectors and a hotbed of innovation. As a result, it is fiercely competitive.
Retail Week launched its monthly Fashion Forward: forecasting the sector’s future design content series in partnership with Bloomreach in July, with analysis revealing the top 30 fashion retailers by 2026/27 based on predicted sales.
The Retail Week data forecasts Frasers Group will rise from third place to number one. The data also made positive reading for Marks & Spencer, which Retail Week analysts expect to rise two places to the third spot, behind Next.
This is our second analysis from the Fashion Forward content series and puts the top 10 under the microscope.
1. Frasers Group
- Financials: For the 53 weeks ending April, 2023, Frasers posted a 96% rise in reported profit before tax to £660.7m. Group revenue increased by 15.8% to £5.5bn, while UK sports retail sales increased 16.7% to £3bn, premium lifestyle grew 14.8% to £1.2bn, international retail jumped 15.2% to £1bn and wholesale climbed 12% to £188.3m.
- 2026/27 forecast: Retail Week estimates Frasers Group sales will pass the £7bn mark in FY2027. However, revenues could be higher than this if its acquisition activity is maintained.
- Store numbers: 1,600+
Michael Murray stepped up into the CEO role at Frasers in May 2022, taking the reins from Mike Ashley who retains a 62% stake in the business.
The retailer sees itself as a platform of brands – with an operating system, merchandising and supply chain operation supporting its portfolio across sports, luxury and premium. Frasers is focusing on range extension to compete with an increasing number of value retailers, such as Primark and H&M, which have established athleisure and sports lines.
Murray announced a shake-up of his executive team in 2022 to drive growth, with David Epstein appointed managing director of premium and luxury after working for the group as managing director of House of Fraser since 2019, and as head of business development at Sports Direct before that. Ger Wright joined the business as managing director of sports following 16 years at Nike.
While Frasers’ sports retail division accounts for the majority of sales (£3.08bn), its share of the fashion, beauty and electronics markets continues to grow via stakes in businesses such as Mulberry (36.8%), Hugo Boss (3.9%) and Asos (16.9%), as well as Boohoo (7.8%), AO (22.2%) and Currys (11.1%) more recently.
The retailer is also focused on global expansion. In June, Frasers Group Asia announced a joint venture agreement with PT Map Aktif Adiperkasa Tbk (MAPA) to launch Sports Direct in the country.
The retailer is also drilling down on data, with Murray announcing plans at World Retail Congress in April to launch the group’s own membership scheme Frasers Plus.



2. Next
- Financials: Next’s full-price sales rose 6.9% in the 13 weeks to July 29, 2023, reflecting a 10% increase in online sales and 2.2% growth across stores. Next forecasts full-price sales to be up 0.5% in the second half and 1.8% for the full year.
- 2026/27 forecast: Retail Week expects modest growth to resume year on year from FY2023 and anticipates total sales will edge closer to the £6.1bn mark on a statutory basis by FY27, of which around £3.7bn could be generated online.
- Store numbers: 466 in 2022.
Next has had a recent focus on improving core product ranges, giving customers better fulfilment options and developing its online platforms and infrastructure to enable further growth. It also continues to invest in improvements to the user experience online, such as site speed and performance, and ensuring it can cope with increasing sales volumes and an extended product offer.
Next made the decision to “follow the new money rather than defend the old” and sell more third-party brands to widen its appeal and, more recently, open up its sourcing skills to other brands through licensing. The appointment of Jeremy Stakol as an executive director in February who is tasked with heading up group investments, acquisitions and third-party brands highlights the retailer’s intent to develop its third-party brand offering.
This strategy includes Label, a separate site for premium brands to use Next’s online customer base, and Total Platform, which allows retail partners, such as Reiss, to grow their businesses without the costs, operational risks and time that would be required to build the necessary infrastructure.
Owning 51% of Reiss, Next is reported to be looking to offload the brand in a deal that values Reiss at £500m.
In December 2022, Next teamed up with Tom Joule to buy the eponymous business he founded out of administration for £34m, and its head office for a further £7m, with the business split 74% to 26% between Next and Joules.
The purchase of Cath Kidston in March 2023 was the final addition to a rapidly growing portfolio of brands, which also includes stakes in Jojo Maman Bébé (44 %), Gap UK (51%) and Victoria’s Secret (51%).



3. Marks & Spencer
- Financials: Group revenues rose 9.6% to £11.9bn in the year to April 1, 2023, reflecting strong growth across both the clothing and home (11.5% to £3.7bn) and food (8.7% to £7.2bn) divisions. In August 2023, M&S upgraded its profit outlook after growing market share in its clothing and home and food businesses.
- 2026/27 forecast: Total M&S sales are expected to be £14.5bn mark by FY2027, with online sales moving to 20% of the total.
- Store numbers: Full-line stores were 247 in 2022. M&S aims to reduce this to a ‘fully modernised core’ of 180 by 2028.
Marks & Spencer established a new senior team in mid-2022, with Stuart Machin and Katie Bickerstaffe becoming CEO and co-CEO respectively. Following this change, the retailer set out its "reshaping for growth" agenda towards the end of 2022. Investment is focused on a high-performance culture, modernised supply chain, a compelling customer ecosystem and expanded global reach.
Restoring broader customer appeal is now a key priority after M&S acknowledged in May 2018 that it had “lost share of younger family-age customers and larger households.” To change this, M&S added guest brand partnerships to its roster, such as Seasalt and Joules, with the retailer reporting in May 2023 that it was now trading with over 140 partners.
While marketing has historically sought to bring the clothing and home and food divisions closer under the Spend it Well strapline, M&S is now giving each department responsibility for its own marketing.


4. JD Sports
- Financials: JD Sports posted record group sales for the year ending January 28, 2023, with revenues jumping 18.2% to £10.1bn. The sports fashion segment grew 19% year on year with sales rocketing to £9.6bn, while its outdoor division made good gains, with revenues rising 10% to £0.56bn for the year. The sports retailer announced in May 2023 that it expects underlying profit to exceed £1bn this year thanks to increased demand for trainers, joggers and hoodies.
- 2026/27 forecast: Robust growth is expected for JD Sports via international expansion, taking sales to over £16bn by FY2027 with ecommerce's share at 31%.
- Store numbers: 3,390.
Under chief executive Régis Schultz, JD Sports has recovered from the offloading of Footasylum with the acquisition of French sportswear and sneakers retailer Courir, which joins its portfolio of retailers in Europe. Andrew Higginson, former Morrisons and N Brown chair, was appointed as chair of the group last summer.
Expanding worldwide through an aggressive acquisition strategy, particularly in North America, JD Sports owns multiple brands including McKenzie, Carbrini, The Duffer of St George, KooGa, Kukri and Nicholas Deakins. Pentland Group, owner of brands such as Speedo and Berghaus, has a 57.5% stake in JD Sports.
The retailer has made acquisitions of Xercise4Less, Livestock, DLTR Villa, Shoe Palace and Sizeer in recent years, while the purchase of Wheelbase and Leisure Lakes in the UK expanded its presence in the premium cycling market.
In August 2023, JD entered “a conditional agreement to acquire the outstanding 40% minority stake” of Marketing Investment Group (MIG), making it the 100% sole owner of the Poland-based footwear and clothing company. JD also expanded into the Middle East with its first franchise agreement with Dubai-based retailer and distributor GMG.
JD has been investing in its supply chain operations to support increased online trade and to mitigate additional costs from UK-EU cross-border trade. In 2021, the retailer launched a major programme to enhance the logistics network across the UK and Europe, with long-term leases being progressed on two major facilities. It then added a 515,000 sq ft dedicated online facility in Derby, UK, with full operational use kicking off in 2023.
With a target demographic of under-25s, JD Sports angles its advertising and marketing strategy accordingly, with online competitions and brand ambassador scouting competitions.


5. Primark
- Financials: “Good growth in all countries” helped total Primark sales surge 19.4% to £4.2m in the six months to March 4, 2023, up from £3.5m in the same period the previous year. Future growth is expected to be driven by pricing and the acceleration of its physical expansion programme as well as click and collect in the UK.
- 2026/27 forecast: Retail Week analysts forecast sales to increase to hit £12bn by FY2027.
- Store numbers: 408 in FY2022.
Headed up by Paul Marchant as chief executive since 2008, Primark has focused on international expansion and strengthening its sustainability credentials. This has come to recent fruition, with Primark launching its first-ever circular product collection in April 2023 as it pledges to “give clothes a longer life”.
Trading across more than 400 stores across 14 markets, just under half of its stores are in the UK with the rest mostly in Western Europe and on the US east coast.
In November 2022, Primark announced an aggressive expansion project to grow its US store estate to 60 stores over five years.
Primark’s position in the top 10 has been driven by customers returning to its stores post-pandemic, alongside its canny brand tie-ups with Greggs and the Barbie. The latter range has seen "incredible sales" and led to talks with Mattel to explore more opportunities.
Primark has upgraded its digital presence and online visibility, launching a redesigned customer-facing website in the UK in April 2022. By April 2023, new websites had been rolled out to Ireland, Germany and Spain, and were introduced to all remaining markets by the end of the summer.
Primark trialled click-and-collect in 25 UK stores across a 2,000-strong range of children’s products in November 2022. It was the first time consumers could purchase online and collect in-store. The trial extended to 32 UK stores by late July 2023.



6. John Lewis Partnership
- Financials: Total JLP sales fell 2.8% to £10.5bn for FY2022.
- 2026/27 forecast: The retailer predicts a muted sale performance in FY2023 due to the cost-of-living crisis continuing to threaten discretionary spending, recovering in low single digits to reach £4.6bn by FY2027. However, JLP has adopted a mantra of “cost out, margins up and customer focus”, setting a new target of a further £600m of efficiency savings by 2026.
- Store numbers: 34 John Lewis shops and 329 Waitrose shops.
John lewis Partnership chair Dame Sharon White made a historic move in March 2023 when she appointed Nish Kankiwala as chief executive – the first CEO in JLP’s history. Kankiwala was appointed to provide counsel on JLP’s transformation, as well as reforming the business model at pace and double down on customer experience investments.
In June 2022, JLP appointed its first director of design for fashion, former M&S and Inditex exec, Queralt Ferrer, who aims to help the retailer become a “more significant player in fashion and home”.
Elevated stores are also a key focus, with John Lewis executive director Naomi Simcock tasked with turbo-charging the department store business. Simcock highlighted words such as “newness,” “stepping up,” “service” and “experience” as the guiding principles for stores such as the Oxford Street flagship.
John Lewis has also strengthened its branded offer – 109 new fashion brands were introduced last year. More recently, JLP relaunched its kidswear offer in a bid to capture the tween market.
JLP has made a massive investment into AI, having signed a £100m agreement with Google in August 2023 as it plans to cut data storage costs and boost its AI efforts. According to The Times, JLP will launch an AI customer service bot later this year, with augmented reality services also in development.


7. TK Maxx
- Financials: Overall store sales increased by 3% in 2023 first quarter, ending April 29, accelerated by an increase in customer footfall. Net sales reached $11.8bn (£9.47bn), up 3% compared to the same period last year. TJX has increased its full-year profit guidance for FY2023 to 10.3% to 10.5%. It also forecasts that full-year comparable store sales will increase by between 2% to 3%.
- 2026/27 forecast: Total sales are expected to edge closer to the £55bn mark in FY2027, with online sales accounting for 4% of total sales.
- Store numbers: 430 TK Maxx stores and 75 Homesense stores.
Owned by US-based TJX Companies, TK Maxx shares some brands across operating territories while others, such as Winners and Marshalls, only exist in North America.
TJX International operates TK Maxx in the UK and Ireland, along with Homesense in Germany, Poland, the UK, the Netherlands and Australia. The retailer is lauded for its opportunistic buying business model through which it sells most of its “big brands and designer labels at small prices” of up to 60% less than RRP.
Headed up by Michael Munnelly, who joined as president in mid-2022, TJX has raised its profit outlook with sales soaring as a result of Munnelly’s strategy for the business.
The retailer has been investing in its stores and in March 2023 launched a search for potential new sites in London to build on its existing 58 shops in the UK capital.
TK Maxx has a successful business model of capitalising on designers overproducing, retailers overbuying, orders being cancelled or vendors looking to clear merchandise, as a result negotiating lower prices that are passed on to the consumer.

8. Nike
- Financials: Nike reported record revenues for a third consecutive year in the 12 months to May 31, 2023 (FY2022). Sales rose 10% to $51.2bn (£42.7bn) or 16% in constant currency.
- 2026/27 forecast: Retail Week forecasts Nike’s revenue to reach £57.2bn by FY2026/27, of which around 33% is predicted to be generated online.
- Store numbers: 1,032.
Founded in 1964, Nike has gone on to dominate the sportswear market. A major focus for Nike is its concept stores, with its RISE concept store launching in Manchester’s Arndale Centre in 2023. The stores focus on digital innovation and “empowering athletes to make sport a daily habit”.
Chief executive John Donahoe has been leading a strategy that includes major investment in innovation and growing its brand portfolio, which includes Jordan, Skateboarding, Converse, Hurley and collaborations with fashion brands such as Commes Des Garçons.
The retailer appointed two brand presidents in May – Heidi O’Neill and Craig Williams – to drive deeper integration across the business and further its commitment to product innovation.
With a customer focus, Nike invests in data and computer vision firms – purchasing data analytics firm Zodiac in 2018 and predictive analytics company Celect in 2019 – to better understand its consumer and in April 2023 announced a five-year partnership with technology services and consulting company Cognizant to transform and support its technology operations. This investment will assist Nike in delivering key capabilities such as new self-service, improved service productivity and significant cost savings.
The retailer is increasingly customer-focused. Striving to take a greater slice of the women’s sports market, Nike announced the launch of the Nike Well Collection in June 2023 to compete with the likes of Lululemon.
With a focus on digital transformation via the likes of its first SWOOSH virtual collection in April 2023 and the Airphoria gaming experience in Fortnite, it is no surprise that the retailer’s marketing strategy also centres on digital.



9. The Very Group
- Financials: The retailer posted a rise in its profitability for the 52 weeks ending July 2, 2022, with pre-tax profits up 2.2% on the previous year to £63.9m. The profitability rise came despite revenues declining 7.3% on the previous year to £2.1bn, or a 5.7% decline when adjusting for the 53rd week in FY2020.
- 2026/27 forecast:
The Very Group owns Very and Littlewoods and is headed up by Lionel Desclée who joined the group as chief executive in September 2022.
The former catalogue retailer now operates entirely online with a focus on credit, boasting 4.5 million customers.
Very is investing heavily in AI to improve personalisation and customer experience. Its digital transformation includes in-app augmented reality features that allow customers to try out new cosmetics products.
Very has added a number of new additions to its platform, implementing size and fit guidance through True Fit as well as the Very Assistant, an AI chatbot, that answered an average of 344,000 chats a month in its most recent financial year.
In February 2023, Very announced it was transforming its product discovery experience with AI and machine learning through a partnership with US-based tech platform Constructor.
It plans to migrate most of its app and website to its new AI-powered Skyscape platform by 2024. The platform will help deliver customer experience changes quicker and faster.
Very also invests substantially in own-brand development. Own-brand Everyday was launched in August 2022 with more competitive prices geared towards the cost-of-living hit consumer, then the range was extended by 900 products in January 2023 across menswear, womenswear, kidswear and home.

10. Asos
- Financials: The retailer posted a rise in its profitability for the 52 weeks ending July 2, 2022, with pre-tax profits up 2.2% on the previous year to £63.9m. The profitability rise came despite revenues declining 7.3% on the previous year to £2.1bn or a 5.7% decline when adjusting for the 53rd week in FY2020.
- 2026/27 forecast:
Like many of its online fast-fashion peers, Asos has been hit by the post-pandemic in-store return.
Former chief commercial officer José Antonio Ramos Calamonte took the helm as CEO in June 2022, with an aim to get the embattled online retailer back on track with a focus on tighter stock management and faster speed to market to quickly respond to trends.
Asos has been at the subject of takeover speculation for a large part of 2023. In July 2023, reports emerged of a £1bn bid by Turkish fast-fashion retailer Trendyol, while Frasers Group also sparked speculation by increasing its stake in the fashion retailer three times in two weeks, increasing its stake from 7.4% to 10.6%. With a stake higher than 10%, Frasers could put a stop to a potential takeover by refusing to sell.
Asos reported adjusted EBIT “up more than £20m year on year” in the three months to May 31, 2023, and said it was “on track” to achieve guidance of between £40m and £60m in H2. The rise in quarterly earnings came despite a 14% fall in sales to £858.9m, “reflecting deliberate actions on capital allocation to improve profitability”.
The retailer has invested heavily in brands, purchasing Arcadia brands Topshop, Topman, Miss Selfridge and HIIT in early 2021, while in February 2022 Asos developed and launched 17 own brands to quickly respond to consumer trends.
In June 2022, Asos announced a partnership with resale platform Thrift+ to align with the retailer’s key strategic pillar to “be more circular,” while in May 2023, it launched its first rental collection in partnership with rental marketplace Hirestreet.
In July, Asos launched a dedicated sample sale site to offload leftover stock in to try and remedy Asos’ overstock problem, whcih was also the reason behind its partnership with SecretSales.
Asos embarked on a partnership with ecommerce technology company Rokt in August 2023 “for the machine learning and artificial intelligence optimisation of offers post-purchase” to drive engagement from shoppers and boost brand loyalty.



Partner viewpoint


Alice Chidgey, Customer Success Manager, Bloomreach Engagement UK
With multi-brand, multi-department and multi-price-point offering stores dominating the predicted top 10 retailers for 2026, we can see that convenience and choice will be some of the biggest priorities for consumers in the years to come.
With only two of the top 10 currently trading as online-only businesses, a key focus for brands will be to win on the high street and in retail parks as well as online. To do this, a customer data-driven approach will be paramount to enable businesses to link a consumer shopping in their store and then browsing on their multi-department website. This will be non-negotiable to enable personalised and timely experiences for customers in an enhanced user experience, both in store and online.
As all top 10 retailers have announced investment in tech over the coming years, be it through AI, upgraded websites or marketplace offerings, new exciting and relevant technology will be key to future-proof the fashion industry.
Alongside updated product offerings, a seamless and customer-centric browsing and purchasing experience will help keep retail relevant, exciting and aspirational to consumers, especially considering the tricky economic landscape we are heading towards.
I think it is safe to say that, as we see the rise in brand acquisition by big multichannel retailers, another big bet in the industry is the emergence of global expansion for nearly all brands within the top 10. Bringing a broader customer set to businesses will, of course, bring more revenue, but it will also help grow brand awareness and therefore loyalty outside of the business’ current remit, helping them grow in the sector in the years to come.
Moving towards a more premium offering also seems to be a road many of the top 10 retailers are turning to – even Primark with its focus on giving clothes a longer life. This trend will be a key factor in helping the top 10 retailers succeed over the next three years.
Alongside the fast-paced acquisition of brands and global expansion, having a broad spectrum of price offerings will ultimately mean that businesses can become destinations that offer something for everyone and for every occasion, as well as for the everyday.

What does a successful fashion strategy look like?
The Fashion Forward: Forecasting the sector’s future model content series will provide the answers. Upcoming content includes:
- September – The future fashion consumer: How they’ll shop and what it means for your business
- October – Next season tech: The investments powering the future of fashion
- November – The products consumers will be buying three years from now
- Date to be confirmed – Virtual panel discussion, Fashion Forward: Forecasting the sector’s future model
This report was produced by:

James Knowles
Head of content innovation, Retail Week

Louise Prance
Report writer

Hanna Hua
Data analyst, Retail Week

Alban Bizet
Senior designer, RWRC